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The following diagram gives an idea of the process involved in mathematical modeling. 

Real-world 
Phenomenon

Observation

Simplification

Model

Trials Analysis

Real-world 
Conclusions


Interpretation

Mathematical Conclusions

We make specific observations about a phenomenon or behavior being studied  and identify factors that seems involved, making the necessary simplifications. Next we conjecture tentative relations among the factors we have selected creating a crude model of the phenomenon.

Having constructed a model, we then apply the appropriate mathematical analysis leading to conclusions about the model.  These conclusions pertain only to the model and not the real-world system under study.

Because the simplifications made in the construction of the model and observations, the model will contain errors and limitations.  We must carefully account for these anomalies before drawing any conclusions about the real-world behavior.

Steps for Constructing a Model

  1. Identify the Problem
    This a difficult step because it is not clear what we need to do. We need to sort through large amounts of data and identify some particular aspect of the situation we want to study.
     
  2. Make
    1. Classify the Variables
      List the things that influence the behavior you identified in step 1 as variables. Identify dependent and independent variables.
    2. Determine Interrelationships Among the Variables Selected.
      Before we can conjecture relationships among the variables, we must make additional simplifications and consider sub models if necessary.
       
  3. Solve the Model
    The model now consist of mathematical equations or inequalities that must be solved to find the information we are seeking.
     
  4. Verify the Model
    Before using the model, we need to test it. Does the model answer the problem identified in step 1? Does the model make common sense? Can we gather the data to operate the model? Be careful about drawing conclusions and specially extrapolating results!
     
  5. Implement the Model
    Try to explain in terms that users of the model can understand it. Help of a computer could be very useful.
     
  6. Maintain the Model
    Remember that the model is derived form the specific problem in step 1 and the assumption in step 2. Has the original problems changed in any way? Do we need to consider some of the neglected factors?

 

 

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©  Fall 2004 Marcelo Llarull | Department of Mathematics | William Paterson University